Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $224,665$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(662 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,822,428.5}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 151.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,822,428.5\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,602$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(55.7 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(16.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,881.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 91.3)}}\) (asimptote \(5,881.0\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $114,221$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,889$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(465 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,181.2}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 67.8)}}\) (asimptote \(5,181.2\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $55$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(3.53 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(20.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57.9}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 57.7)}}\) (asimptote \(57.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $190$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,071$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(89.2 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,795.8}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 139.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10,795.8\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $51$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.06 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{392.1}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 118.5)}}\) (asimptote \(392.1\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,178$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $78,304$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.62 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{105,112.9}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 98.5)}}\) (asimptote \(105,112.9\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,564$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(83.9 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17,965.8}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 143.7)}}\) (asimptote \(17,965.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $52,499$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,432$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(270 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,988.4}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 85.1)}}\) (asimptote \(8,988.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $182$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(10.9 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(26.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{670.5}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 139.0)}}\) (asimptote \(670.5\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,024$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,542$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(36.7 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,960.5}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 131.0)}}\) (asimptote \(4,960.5\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $18$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(0.254 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.4\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $794$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,087$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(26.6 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,800.4}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 85.5)}}\) (asimptote \(5,800.4\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $139$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.61 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{134.4}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 73.2)}}\) (asimptote \(134.4\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,954$ on 2020-07-08
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,348$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.53 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17,861.2}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 77.2)}}\) (asimptote \(17,861.2\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $978$ on 2020-07-08
Best fit exponential: \(190 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(44.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{992.4}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 54.4)}}\) (asimptote \(992.4\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,041$ on 2020-07-08
